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Author Topic:   The DOW & NASDAQ
ed monahan





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posted 01-28-2018 04:27 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ed monahan     send a private message to ed monahan   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ed monahan
I think Reechee left the building with Elvis awhile ago.
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posted 01-29-2018 01:44 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ALLEY CAT     send a private message to ALLEY CAT   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ALLEY CAT
He'll be back when the Dow drops below 18000, and blame Trump

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posted 01-30-2018 09:17 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for ALLEY CAT     send a private message to ALLEY CAT   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ALLEY CAT
HUGE sell-off going on at the Dow...dropping like a lead turd,,,has to be

TRUMP'S FAULT ,,,as the two remaining Libs will claim


Might have something to do with Amazon, JP Morgan, and Berkshire wanting to establish a new healthcare company? United Healthcare stock falling fast..

ed monahan





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posted 01-30-2018 09:26 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for ed monahan     send a private message to ed monahan   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ed monahan
After the State of the UniuM tonight, the Dow will soar tomorrow.
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posted 01-30-2018 06:36 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for StingRay     send a private message to StingRay   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by StingRay
I concur with Ed ... just like Chuckles Schumer shut down the Gov't in honor of Trumps 1st year anniversary, this was done intentionally by market makers (think Soros, Buffet, others who dispise Trump is OUR President) to NOT give Trump something to tout on the night of his 1st SOTU Address.

Amazing how the left has reacted and they don't care hope it affects Americans so long as they somehow discredit / distract OUR President.

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posted 01-31-2018 01:23 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for BeWare     send a private message to BeWare   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by BeWare
Jobs SURGE; Crush Expectations...

Private payrolls grow by 234,000 in January, vs 185,000 expected: ADP/Moody's Analytics

•Private companies hired 234,000 jobs in January, well above expectations for 185,000, according to ADP and Moody's Analytics.
•Service-related industries led with 212,000 new jobs; manufacturing added 12,000 and construction 9,000.
•The report often differs significantly from the government's more closely watched nonfarm payrolls count, with ADP reporting growth of 242,000 in December vs. the Labor Department's 148,000.
http://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/31/private-jobs-up-234k-in-january-vs-185k-est-adp-moodys-analytics.html


Pay Rises At Fastest Pace Since '08
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01-31/trumps-first-year-saw-americans-compensation-rise-fastest-pace-2008

ed monahan





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posted 02-02-2018 03:46 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ed monahan     send a private message to ed monahan   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ed monahan
OUCH, a really bad day.
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posted 02-02-2018 09:13 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Landscape Doctor     send a private message to Landscape Doctor   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by Landscape Doctor
Bad week. Looks like inflation and rate hike gitters spooked the market. I have a feeling it is going to correct around 22k. If it does,,, it sure would be a buying oportunity.
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posted 02-05-2018 01:49 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Landscape Doctor     send a private message to Landscape Doctor   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by Landscape Doctor
Looks like the dip is beginning, Question is how low is it gonna go???

quote:
Originally posted by Landscape Doctor:
No way of predicting the future. I am still young so in it for the long haul. If you are retirement age,,, just be mindfull. This has been one fabulous ride that I hope continues. A dip will happen,, big question is when????

Tomcal


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posted 02-08-2018 11:04 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Tomcal     send a private message to Tomcal   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by Tomcal
When you "Take Credit" and "Own" the rise. You likewise, "Own the correction".

We're all feeling this pain. It will recover over time.

Remember, Market was up 259 Percent under Obama.

This message has been edited by Tomcal on 02-08-2018 at 11:05 AM

tangled up in BLUE


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posted 02-08-2018 11:34 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for tangled up in BLUE     send a private message to tangled up in BLUE   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by tangled up in BLUE
...2008, Dow was around 14k

...election day 2008, Dow was 9,600

...inauguration day 2009, Dow was 7,900

...60 days later, March 2009, Dow was 6,600

...2013 Dow (4 years later) recovered to previous highs of 14k

...slowest economic recovery in 70 years

...actual increase (not recovery) was from 14k to approximately 18k, approximately 30% in 8 years, or less than 4% annual increase on average

...2017, 8k increase in a year, or 40 % (10 times previous annual rates)

...2018, 10% correction, still an amazing time for investments

ALLEY CAT





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posted 02-08-2018 01:18 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ALLEY CAT     send a private message to ALLEY CAT   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ALLEY CAT
Quote: "Market was up 259 Percent under Obama"

Sure sounded good,,,until I read:

Quote: "...election day 2008, Dow was 9,600

...inauguration day 2009, Dow was 7,900

...60 days later, March 2009, Dow was 6,600

...2013 Dow (4 years later) recovered to previous highs of 14k

...slowest economic recovery in 70 years

...actual increase (not recovery) was from 14k to approximately 18k, approximately 30% in 8 years, or less than 4% annual increase on average"
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Was I hit by a snowball >

Tomcal


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posted 02-08-2018 02:00 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Tomcal     send a private message to Tomcal   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by Tomcal
"Figures don’t lie, but liars figure"

FACT up 259%. Pulling out of the worst recession since the Great Depression. A major accomplishment.

Post was on taking responsible for what you say and claim, good and bad.

Some never take responsibility and can only deflect.

How's your 401k ?.... Donald Trump

This message has been edited by Tomcal on 02-08-2018 at 02:02 PM

cstall




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posted 02-08-2018 03:36 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for cstall     send a private message to cstall   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by cstall
quote:
Originally posted by Tomcal:

Post was on taking responsible for what you say and claim, good and bad.


Glad to hear you say that you're willing to take responsibility for what you say cuz your 259% claim is pure crap!

If we go election day to election day (give or take), here's what we get:

DOW closing
Nov 1, 2008 - 13567
Nov 8, 2016 - 18332

My math sez that's a gain of 35.12% in 8 years, or an annualized gain of 4.39%

But hey, if YOU made 259% during the Obama years, that's great. Must've invested in welfare stocks :-)

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posted 02-08-2018 09:36 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for StingRay     send a private message to StingRay   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by StingRay
quote:
Originally posted by cstall:

But hey, if YOU made 259% during the Obama years, that's great. Must've invested in welfare stocks :-)

tangled up in BLUE


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posted 02-09-2018 08:47 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for tangled up in BLUE     send a private message to tangled up in BLUE   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by tangled up in BLUE
...many choose to show a graph of 2009 when the Dow hit a low of 6,600 in March 2009 instead of the true figures from January when it was 7,900.......AND forgetting about the RECOVERY, it's like taking credit for someone elses work.....true gain for 8 years was approximately 4k, sad
ed monahan





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posted 02-09-2018 12:00 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ed monahan     send a private message to ed monahan   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ed monahan
My 401K is fabulous, compared to a few years ago. I have way more money now and have been withdrawing it every month, due to the regulation that you have to start drawing at age 70 1/2.
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posted 02-09-2018 08:53 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Tomcal     send a private message to Tomcal   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by Tomcal
YES, I'm willing to take FULL responsibility.

Clearly, some posters know nothing about US Stock Market or how performance is calculated.

To believe that US Stock Market is made up of only 30 Dow component company show pure ignorance of equity markets.

Equities include DOW, S&P 500, and NASDAQ to name just a few. Numbers may or may not include dividend reinvestment which effect results by some percent points.

Further, if you don't understand Annualized returns versus
Cumulative returns you shouldn't be posting junk numbers.

Perhaps the best way to enlighten the unenlightened is to go to a Professional source below.

From Money Magazine....
(Start quote)

"Slow and disappointing are hardly words you would use to describe the stock market’s performance under the outgoing president.(Obama)

Since Obama’s first inauguration on Jan. 20, 2009, U.S. equities have surged 12% a year, not counting dividends, in what turned out to be the second-longest bull market in history.

Here’s one other way to think about it: If during the upcoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump, the stock market were to replicate the success it enjoyed under Obama, rising by a factor of 2.5, then the Dow Jones industrial average — which currently stands at just under the 20,000 level — would have to climb all the way up to 50,000.

How Obama Stacks Up Historically...

The stock market’s performance in the two terms under Obama represents “the second best run under a Democrat president,” trailing only the 14.9% annual gains under Bill Clinton in the 1990s, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist for the market research firm CFRA.

Among all presidents, the market’s annualized gain under Obama ranks third behind Clinton and Gerald Ford — although Ford presided over less than a single term.

Equities also gained nearly three percentage points more annually under Obama than under Ronald Reagan — who, along with Clinton, is widely perceived as having been history’s biggest benefactors to Wall Street. How is that possible?

Unlike Reagan, who not only presided over a major bull market but also a couple of big stock slides — the 1981-82 downturn and the October 1987 crash — Obama’s entire presidency unfolded in a bull market.

Making American Stocks Great Again....

While interest rates have been at record lows around the world, the fact remains that U.S. stocks far outperformed other global markets.

Under Obama, U.S. stocks more than tripled investors’ money, generating total returns (which include the value of reinvested dividends) of 235%. By comparison, shares of companies based in Europe, Japan, and other developed economies gained just 96% in total, according to the investment research firm Morningstar".
(End Quote)

Money Magazine's 235% and my 259% are reflected by differences in compounding.

But, I'll let you pick, either 235% or 259%. Both are Huge run ups under Obama.

I firmly standby my numbers, with FACT.

If you don't get it, read Money Mag again and again until you get it.

Most likely you'll call it Fake News. It's the only deflection you have.

POA is a great car site. But, I wouldn't take financial info or advise from those posting here.

Be leery of people who yell "Pure Crap" or those Collecting Welfare. They know not what they speak.

"Figures don't lie, but liars figure"

BTW.... More FACTS....

Worst US Market drop in history, 1,175 points, 2/5/2018.... Donald Trumps' watch.

Second worst US Market drop in history, 1,032 points, 2/8/2018.... Donald Trump's watch.

If your invested in the Market, you lost a ton of money this week. You maybe in denial, and float past performance, but you got burnt.

I'll be the first to say I dropped a ton, but it will recover over time, that I'm confident of.

How's your 401K? .... Donald Trump.

An Apple is still an Apple, no matter what some may say.

This message has been edited by Tomcal on 02-09-2018 at 09:09 PM

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posted 02-10-2018 09:33 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for TLRandall     send a private message to TLRandall   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by TLRandall
Say what you want, I am doing much better than when Obuma was there. Plus I just received more take home money on both my retirement checks thanks to Trump's Tax Plan.

Yes I am glad Obum is gone and the witch isn't in there either.

tangled up in BLUE


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posted 02-10-2018 07:37 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for tangled up in BLUE     send a private message to tangled up in BLUE   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by tangled up in BLUE
...percentage wise, the 1,175 point drip was the 8th largest in history, even President Obama had a higher percentage Dow dip under his watch....percentages are what count, not Dow points

...again, I watch financial news channels daily (all day most days), and have invested for over 30 years on my own....a guy writing articles for Money Magazine is not my first choice for financial info (who is he, does he invest, how timely is getting your financial info from a magazine), I prefer the thoughts and wisdom of the actual players, real time info

.....personal profits the last 15 months or so have far far exceeded the previous 8 years, at least for me....all financial analysts I follow, non political, all say the same thing, the previous 8 years are nothing compared to the last year and the road looks good ahead and my personal stock gains strongly agree

...the pull back last week may extend, may be short lived, but it was a mere 30 day back track for me...tax cuts, higher profits, higher wages, more to spend, the economy is rolling

...no, I don't give investing advice to anyone, everyone has different levels of stress and need making it a personal decision for each and every one of us,

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posted 02-11-2018 08:46 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for cstall     send a private message to cstall   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by cstall
quote:
Originally posted by Tomcal:

But, I'll let you pick, either 235% or 259%. Both are Huge run ups under Obama.

I firmly standby my numbers, with FACT.


I showed EXACTLY how I calculated 35.12%.
Show us how you calculated 235% or 259%.

ed monahan





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posted 02-12-2018 11:47 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for ed monahan     send a private message to ed monahan   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ed monahan
Up about 400 at this point.
ed monahan





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posted 02-12-2018 11:50 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for ed monahan     send a private message to ed monahan   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ed monahan
It is the Dow Jones INDUSTRIAL average, 30 top stocks. Some go up and some go down EVERY Day. It is the average and a benchmark. The NASDAQ is a totally different thing.
Tomcal


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posted 02-12-2018 12:40 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Tomcal     send a private message to Tomcal   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by Tomcal
cstall.... Ask Money Mag how they calculate 235%. Don't like them??? Try Baron's below 233.71%.

You can also ask Dow Jones, Standard and Poors, Kiplinger Baron, Wall Street Journal and many others.

Tell them, their wrong and your right. Let me know what they reply back to you. LOL

From Baron's....

(Quote) Trump Ranks Sixth In Stock Market Performance Behind Obama And Clinton

While the market has consistently gained under Trump, the gains haven’t been record-setting. From inauguration day on January 20 through October 27, the S&P 500 shows a 15.38% annualized rate of return. That’s less than the annualized percentages achieved under five other presidents.
Harry Truman, Dwight Eisenhower, Gerald Ford, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama all did better over the course of their terms. The top returns were achieved under a pair a pair of Democrats for whom Trump has expressed disdain–Bill Clinton at a 17.49% total return per year and Barack Obama at 16.25%.

Here’s a breakdown for the 15 latest presidents, ranked by market performance as measured by the total return on the S&P 500.

President Cumulative Return Annualized Return
Bill Clinton 163.25% 17.49%
Barack Obama 233.71% 16.25%
Gerald Ford 42.53% 15.57%
Harry Truman 207.98% 15.56%
Dwight Eisenhower 217.15% 15.51%
Donald Trump 13.64% 15.38%
Ronald Reagan 207.83% 15.08%
George H.W. Bush 73.13% 14.71%
Jimmy Carter 59.33% 12.40%
Franklin Roosevelt 300.95% 12.15%
Lyndon Johnson 73.17% 11.23%
John Kennedy 30.42% 9.82%
Richard Nixon -3.50% -0.64%
George W. Bush -26.75% -3.82%
Herbert Hoover -77.09% -30.82%

Trumps numbers above don't include 2000 plus point drop last week under his watch. Largest in history. Pushes his numbers much lower.

..


This message has been edited by Tomcal on 02-12-2018 at 12:48 PM

ed monahan





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posted 02-12-2018 05:16 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ed monahan     send a private message to ed monahan   Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote   Search for more posts by ed monahan
TO October????? Why did they pick October to end the Trump period? There were HUGE gains from October to Feb 1. They are also comparing 8 years to less than one year, makes you think of that saying, Figures lie and Liars figure. Something is really fishy with all of that logic.

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